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Mapa do Segundo Turno

04/ 65Track record

Lula has led Brazil three times. Flávio has never held executive office.

Lula is the first person to hold Brazil’s presidency three times[1]. Flávio has spent 23 years in legislative office, as a state deputy and senator, and has never held executive office[2].

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Two recordsWhat each one did, topic by topic, with a source for every fact.
SubjectLulaFlávio Bolsonaro
Career, through 2026

Metalworker, union president and PT founder; elected to the Constituent Assembly in 1986. President in 2003–2010 and since 2023: the first to hold the presidency three times[1].

State deputy in Rio from 2003 to 2019 and senator since 2019: 23 years in office[2]. Went through PP, PSC, PSL, Patriota and PL[3]. Has never held executive office.

Laws and programs, Presidency × Senate

Created Bolsa Família (MP 132/2003), ProUni (MP 213/2004) and Minha Casa, Minha Vida (MP 459/2009)[4][5][6]. In December 2010, Bolsa Família reached 12.8 million families[7].

None of the 62 bills Flávio filed as lead author had become law in the survey published on May 31, 2026[8].

Hunger, 2021–2025

Brazil left the Hunger Map in 2025, under Lula’s government[9].

His father’s government: Brazil returned to the Hunger Map in 2021, under Flávio’s father’s government[9].

Minimum wage, raises 2019–2026

The four raises set by Lula’s government, from May 2023 to January 2026, added up to 9.9% above inflation[10].

His father’s government: 1.5% across five raises[10]. Flávio voted Yes on the pension reform on 10/22/2019[11].

Courts, STF and TJ-RJ, 2021–2022

The Supreme Court annulled the Lava Jato convictions on 04/15/2021, 8 to 3: the judge of Curitiba’s 13th Federal Court lacked jurisdiction[12].

Indicted by Rio prosecutors (MP-RJ) in 2020 in the rachadinhas case[13]. With the evidence annulled by the STJ and the STF[14][15], the indictment was dismissed in 2022, without a ruling on the merits[16]. He denies wrongdoing.

Banco Master, Supreme Court, since July 2026

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Flávio asked Daniel Vorcaro, owner of Banco Master, for US$ 24 million for a film about his father; at least US$ 10.6 million was paid[17]. He is under investigation at the Supreme Court; there is no indictment[18]. He says there is nothing wrong with seeking private money for a film.

The mansion, BRB, 2021

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The Federal Police is examining a R$ 3.1 million loan from BRB to Flávio, in 2021, for a R$ 6 million mansion, at 3.71% a year; the bank’s average was about 4.85%[19].

Militia, Rio assembly, 2005

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Proposed the Rio assembly’s highest honor for Adriano da Nóbrega, then jailed and accused of killing a parking attendant; he would be acquitted in 2007[20]. In 2019, Adriano was indicted as a militia leader[21].

Sovereignty, 2025–2026

“And here no one lays a hand. This country belongs to the Brazilian people.” (07/24/2025, during the tariff hike)[22]

In a document to the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR), Flávio Bolsonaro listed as “hostility” toward the United States the Lula government’s failure to sign the rare-earths deal proposed by Washington[23].

The rows compare different offices, roles and periods: a president and a legislator do not have the same tools. A dash marks a topic with no matching fact on the other side.

How to read

Different offices, the same yardstick

A president and a legislator have different tools, and the table does not hide it. It sets side by side what each did with the power he had: one led the country three times; the other spent 23 years in office.

The vote

The record is on the table

In a runoff, the choice is between two people and what they have already done. On October 25, both records sit side by side on the ballot.

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References23 sources

  1. 01Planalto · Biografia do Presidente da RepúblicaConsulted on 10/20/2026: metalworker, union president in 1975, founded the PT in 1980, elected to the Constituent Assembly in 1986, the first to hold the presidency three times.(opens in a new tab)
  2. 02Agência Senado · Flávio Bolsonaro é eleito presidente da CSP“He began his political career in 2003”, elected a state deputy four consecutive times; senator since 2019.(opens in a new tab)
  3. 03Itatiaia · Conheça a carreira política de Flávio Bolsonaro, pré-candidato à PresidênciaElected a state deputy aged 21 for the PP; four terms in the Alerj; PSC in 2016, PSL in 2018, Patriota, then PL.(opens in a new tab)
  4. 04Presidência da República · Medida Provisória nº 132, de 20 de outubro de 2003Initiative signed by Lula and José Dirceu, unification of earlier programs and conversion into Law 10.836/2004.(opens in a new tab)
  5. 05Presidência da República · Medida Provisória nº 213, de 10 de setembro de 2004Establishes ProUni, with full and partial scholarships; signed by Lula and ministers, converted into Law 11.096/2005.(opens in a new tab)
  6. 06Presidência da República · Medida Provisória nº 459, de 25 de março de 2009Structure and purpose of Minha Casa, Minha Vida; signed by Lula and ministers, converted into Law 11.977/2009.(opens in a new tab)
  7. 07Agência Senado · Suplicy registra os sete anos de implantação do programa Bolsa-FamíliaRecords coverage of 12.8 million families in December 2010, reported by Eduardo Suplicy.(opens in a new tab)
  8. 08UOL · Tiago Mali · Flávio Bolsonaro teve 2 projetos aprovados no Senado em 7 anos de mandatoFirst-author scope: 62 proposals, two approved in the Senate, none enacted. Includes co-authorship and the office’s response.(opens in a new tab)
  9. 09ONU / FAO · ARTIGO: Brasil voltou a sair do Mapa da FomeReturn in 2021, exit over 2022–2024, 2.5% threshold, first exit in 2014 and initiatives: school meals, PAA, community kitchens, food banks, family farming and the Global Alliance.(opens in a new tab)
  10. 10DIEESE · Nota Técnica 289: Impactos do aumento do salário mínimo para R$ 1.621,00 em 2026Values and real gain of each readjustment since 2003; end of the valorization policy between 2019 and 2022; 2024 GDP of 3.4% and the R$ 1,636 value; food baskets in São Paulo; 61.9 million people.(opens in a new tab)
  11. 11Senado Federal, Dados Abertos · Votações nominais em Plenário em 22/10/2019 (PEC 6/2019, segundo turno)Vote 6046, pension reform passed 60 to 19: Flávio Bolsonaro voted Yes.(opens in a new tab)
  12. 12Poder360 · Plenário do STF anula condenações de Lula na Lava JatoBy 8 to 3, the full court upheld Fachin’s decision: the acts of the judge of Curitiba’s 13th Federal Court, who lacked jurisdiction, were annulled.(opens in a new tab)
  13. 13Agência Brasil · MP do Rio denuncia 17 investigados por lavagem de dinheiro e peculatoThe charges against 17 people, including Flávio and Queiroz, the offences, the period and the defense’s response.(opens in a new tab)
  14. 14Conjur · STJ anula atos de juiz contra Flávio Bolsonaro no caso das rachadinhasThe STJ overturned the first-instance judge’s decisions for lack of jurisdiction (jurisdiction lay with the TJ-RJ).(opens in a new tab)
  15. 15Conjur · Supremo anula relatórios do Coaf sobre Flávio BolsonaroThe STF invalidated four Coaf reports and the MP-RJ’s evidence against Flávio; upheld the first, unsolicited report; “fishing expedition”.(opens in a new tab)
  16. 16Agência Brasil · Justiça do Rio arquiva processo de caso de supostas rachadinhasThe Special Bench of the TJ-RJ rejected the charges for lack of just cause, at the MP-RJ’s request, after the evidence was invalidated.(opens in a new tab)
  17. 17CNN Brasil · Flávio pediu R$ 134 mi a Vorcaro para filme de Bolsonaro, diz InterceptThe US$ 24 million request, the US$ 10.6 million paid and Flávio’s response.(opens in a new tab)
  18. 18Agência Brasil · Mendonça incluiu Flávio Bolsonaro como investigado no caso Dark HorseFlávio’s inclusion as a subject of the investigation and the offences being investigated.(opens in a new tab)
  19. 19Diario de Pernambuco · PF apura condições de financiamento do BRB a Flávio Bolsonaro para mansão de R$ 6 milhõesR$ 3.1 million BRB loan in 2021, at 3.71% a year against an average of about 4.85%; the Federal Police is examining the deal in the BRB–Master inquiry.(opens in a new tab)
  20. 20Exame (Estadão Conteúdo) · Ex-PM estava preso quando recebeu homenagem de Flávio BolsonaroCommendation in Oct. 2003; Tiradentes Medal proposed in Jun. 2005 while Adriano was in prison, approved in Aug. 2005; acquittal in Jan. 2007.(opens in a new tab)
  21. 21Poder360 · Ex-PM suspeito no caso Marielle é morto em operação policial na BahiaAdriano accused of leading a militia (Operação Intocáveis, 2019) and killed in 2020; no accusation had been proven.(opens in a new tab)
  22. 22SBT News · EUA mostram interesse em minerais críticos do Brasil, e Lula diz que “ninguém põe a mão” em recursos; entendaLula’s remarks in Minas Novas (MG), on July 24, 2025.(opens in a new tab)
  23. 23Gabinete do senador Flávio Bolsonaro · Comentário escrito sobre a ação proposta, processo USTR-2026-0331The annex “Public hostility toward the United States”, the offers on patents, platforms and Mercosul, “the same outcomes” sought by the US president and the request not to impose tariffs on Brazil.(opens in a new tab)